mortgage refinance risk

  • ARM vs Fixed Rate Raleigh: The Real Refinance Risk

    ARM vs fixed rate Raleigh is a decision most guides reduce to a rate spread, but the real variable is whether a future refinance actually happens. The Mortgage Bankers Association’s June 22, 2026 forecast projects the 30-year fixed rate holding at 6.5% through 2027 and 2028, meaning the rate drop most ARM refinance plans depend on has little support right now. Kevin Martini and Logan Martini of Martini Mortgage Group explain why the safest ARM decision assumes the refinance never comes, and why a fixed rate mortgage removes that assumption entirely for Raleigh and Wake County homeowners.